From Strategy Page:
November 3, 2008: The LTTE is putting its last reserves of trained fighters into the defense of Kilinochchi. Casualties are increasing, as is LTTE pressure on its allies in southern India (Tamil Nadu, the original homeland of the Sri Lankan Tamils) to get India to force the Sri Lankans to stop their military operations against the LTTE. This is essential if the LTTE is to survive as a viable separatist organization. If the LTTE government in northern Sri Lanka is destroyed, the LTTE leadership will be driven into exile, and become just another expatriate terrorist group. Such organizations have come on hard times since September 11, 2001, and face eventual extinction because of international counter-terrorism efforts. Thus the LTTE is fighting for its very survival. Right now, the LTTE has weather on its side. The monsoon rains have begun and will continue for another month or so. The constant rain makes the government air force less effective, and slows army operations and supply movements (over the many dirt roads leading to combat units.) The army is advancing up the coasts, while it is stalled in front of Kilinochchi, which is apparently now defended by the LTTE best fighters. Political efforts to get India to intervene are noisy but hopeless.
Read more ....
November 3, 2008: The LTTE is putting its last reserves of trained fighters into the defense of Kilinochchi. Casualties are increasing, as is LTTE pressure on its allies in southern India (Tamil Nadu, the original homeland of the Sri Lankan Tamils) to get India to force the Sri Lankans to stop their military operations against the LTTE. This is essential if the LTTE is to survive as a viable separatist organization. If the LTTE government in northern Sri Lanka is destroyed, the LTTE leadership will be driven into exile, and become just another expatriate terrorist group. Such organizations have come on hard times since September 11, 2001, and face eventual extinction because of international counter-terrorism efforts. Thus the LTTE is fighting for its very survival. Right now, the LTTE has weather on its side. The monsoon rains have begun and will continue for another month or so. The constant rain makes the government air force less effective, and slows army operations and supply movements (over the many dirt roads leading to combat units.) The army is advancing up the coasts, while it is stalled in front of Kilinochchi, which is apparently now defended by the LTTE best fighters. Political efforts to get India to intervene are noisy but hopeless.
Read more ....