This file photo from October 2005 shows North Korean People's Army soldiers marching at Kim Il-Sung Square in Pyongyang in a military parade to mark the 60th anniversary of the Workers' Party of Korea. KCNA via AFP -- Getty ImagesFrom Westhawk:
Last week, the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) released a report called Preparing for Sudden Change in North Korea. Last week’s press coverage of the report featured the report’s estimate that stabilizing North Korea after a sudden collapse would require 460,000 foreign soldiers, should North Korea’s security services and special forces resist being “stabilized.” The report asserted that even a permissive stabilization operation would require 115,000 to 230,000 soldiers. The report’s authors assumed that the South Korean army would provide the vast majority of this manpower, aided by U.S. logistical support. But in the worst case scenario, South Korea and the U.S. could not together scrape up enough troops to fulfill the mission, according to the report’s authors.
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My Comment: For the past few years I have read snippets of reports, examined the purpose behind certain war games (both China and South Korea), and analyzed the remarks of political and military leaders in the region. I was always left with the impression that the plans already exist for the day that the North Korean Government either collapses, or requests assistance from its neighbors.
I do not know when that day will come .... but I do know that North Korea's neighbor's do believe that it will come.