From The Danger Room:
U.S. forces are forcibly disarming one of their key allies in the fight for Iraq. And that has major implications for America's future -- both in the Middle East, and in Central Asia.
Street fighting erupted in Baghdad this weekend after the arrest of Adel Mashadani, a Sunni militia leader and key figure in the "Awakening" movement. Now, for the first time, Mashadani's Awakening council is being disarmed and disbanded; U.S. and Iraqi officials "are not going to allow it to re-form," according to the New York Times. This has sparked a lot of concern about a great unraveling in Iraq, even as the Obama administration shifts its attention to Afghanistan.
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My Comment: Arming and training local militias has always been a double edge sword. There is always a strong possibility that they will turn against you .... which has already happened in some isolated cases within Iraq.
As I had remarked in a post a few days ago, the next two years are going to be crucial for Iraq. if it succeeds, there is a chance that Afghanistan will also succeed. But if Iraq falls apart, and sectarian fighting breaks out again .... the hope for Afghanistan to succeed will unfortunately be appreciable lowered.