Maintenance personnel at Andersen Air Force Base, Guam, prepare for the arrival of twelve F-22 Raptors Jan. 18 that deployed from Elmendorf AFB, Alaska. More than 250 Airmen already have arrived at the base to begin a three-month deployment as the Pacific’s theater-security package. The stealth fighters, along with associated maintenance and support personnel, are deployed as the 90th Expeditionary Fighter Squadron and will participate in various exercises that provide routine training in an environment different from their home station. (U.S. Air Force photo/ Master Sgt. Kevin J. Gruenwald)Think Tank: China Beats U.S. in Simulated Taiwan Air War -- The Danger Room
In 2000, the influential think thank RAND Corporation crunched some numbers regarding a possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan, and concluded that “any near-term Chinese attempt to invade Taiwan would likely be a very bloody affair with a significant probability of failure” — especially if the U.S. raced to the island nation’s defense. But nine years later, a new, much-updated edition of the RAND study found that China’s improved air and missile forces “represent clear and impending dangers to the defense of Taiwan,” whether or not the U.S. is involved.
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My Comment: Even if there were a hundred F-22s at Guam, a Chinese invasion of Taiwan will escalate into a major military confrontation between China and the U.S. that will involve millions of men and women, air forces, numerous allies, and much of the U.S. blue water fleet.
I will not even dwell on the economic and financial repercussions from such a conflict.
Rand Study or not .... U.S. - China and China (with the rest of he world) relations will be set back by decades, and while China may win the battle over Taiwan, they will lose the war when their energy supplies are cut off from the Middle East and their foreign markets for their goods are banned.