Calculated Terror -- Foreign Policy
How a computer model predicts the future in some of the world's most volatile hotspots.
On Oct. 27, a Katyusha rocket was fired from Lebanon and struck down in an open area outside the northern Israeli town of Kiryat Shmone. This was the ninth such rocket strike since the end of the 2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah. No group claimed responsibility for the attack, but smaller Palestinian groups hoping to spark another round of fighting are the most likely suspect. Hezbollah, despite its extreme anti-Israel politics, did not join the fight, even after Israeli counterstrikes.
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My Comment: A friend of mine ask me this afternoon if I had any idea on where will the next "new" conflict/war erupt. Could not answer him properly, but I can now assume that with these computer models .... maybe (one day) certain predictions can then be made by using statistical and historical data.