Can Computer Models Predict Conflicts And Wars?

The Science Of Civil War: What Makes Heroic Strife -- the Economist

Computer models that can predict the outbreak and spread of civil conflict are being developed.

FOR the past decade or so, generals commanding the world’s most advanced armies have been able to rely on accurate forecasts of the outcomes of conventional battles. Given data on weather and terrain, and the combatants’ numbers, weaponry, positions, training and level of morale, computer programs such as the Tactical Numerical Deterministic Model, designed by the Dupuy Institute in Washington, DC, can predict who will win, how quickly and with how many casualties.

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My Comment: There are some analysts and pundits who have a very clear perception of where future wars and conflicts may occur .... developing computer programs and models will probably also give the same heads-up.

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