Israel's Next War May Be With Gaza, But Not Syria -- Reuters
* Israel says Syria's Assad not looking for war
* Mounting Gaza clashes pose more immediate risk of war
* Gaza's Hamas rulers believe Egypt will prevent war
JERUSALEM, Nov 12 (Reuters) - If Israel goes to war with any of its neighbours before this year ends it will be with Gaza not Syria, despite appearances.
The Israeli army fired into Syria on Monday for the second day in a row, after a Syrian mortar round from fighting across the disengagement line hit the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights.
Sunday's Israeli missile was a warning shot. Monday's tankfire scored a direct hit, the army said. There was no immediate word on any casualties. But it was the "message" Israel had warned would come.
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My Comment: The only way that Israel will get itself into a war with Syria is if the Assad regime makes the deliberate attempt to provoke Israel into a war. For the moment .... the Syrian civil war is achieving a certain Israeli national security goal .... mainly the degradation and splintering of the Syrian military into a minor military threat. If the Syrian regime makes the decision to launch attacks against Israel .... it will be perceived (rightly) that the Syrian regime is about to fall, and this is their last gasp at forging some pro-Assad unity in Syria. My prediction .... military skirmishes will continue, but there will be no war between Israel and Syria